Opinion polling for the 2025 Chilean presidential election

In the run-up to the 2025 Chilean presidential election, opinion polls are conducted to assess the intention to vote in Chile during the presidential term of Gabriel Boric. The date range for these opinion polls runs from the first measurement in October 2022, to the day the election is held, 16 November 2025.

Various polls are listed below in reverse chronological order (with the most recent polls first). The order considers the last day of the sampling and only when that period is not known, the date of publication of the poll is shown.

Second round

PollsterDateWould not voteJaraUpChKastCpChLCN8 Dec 202540.3%59.7%—Panel Ciudadano5 Dec 202536%50%14%Cadem3-5 Dec 202536%47%17%Start of the two-week polling silence period (30 November 2025)Encuesta Nacional30 Nov 202539%61%—Cadem29 Nov 202534%46%20%Activa29 Nov 202531.6%45.2%17.7%5.5%Panel Ciudadano28 Nov 202534%50%16%Criteria27 Nov 202535%51%14%Data Influye22-27 Nov 202534%59%3%14%Atlas Intel22-26 Nov 202535%56.9%8.1%Gallup Marketing & Asesoría20-26 Nov 202538%59%3%Pew Research Center19-26 Nov 202540.4%59.6%—CB18-23 Nov 202536.7%50.9%12.4%Criteria23 Nov 202536%50%14%Cadem21 Nov 202534%46%20%Panel Ciudadano21 Nov 202535%50%15%ICSO-UDP18-21 Nov 202534%44%11%11%Panel Ciudadano21 Nov 202535%50%15%Black & White18–20 Nov 202535%56%9%Gallup Marketing & Asesoría17–19 Nov 202539%55%6%Pew Research Center17–18 Nov 202538.3%61.7%—Panel Ciudadano17 Nov 202534%54%12% First round (16 November 2025)Cadem13–14 Nov 202535%46%19%Cadem10–12 Nov 202534%44%22%Panel Ciudadano6–7 Nov 202533%47%20%Cadem5–7 Nov 202536%47%17%Panel Ciudadano30–31 Oct 202532%46%22%Atlas Intel25–30 Oct 202540%46%14%Criteria27–29 Oct 202533%51%16%LCN19–28 Oct 202544%56%—Cadem22–24 Oct 202536%48%16%Panel Ciudadano22–24 Oct 202532%48%20%Criteria21–23 Oct 202535%46%19%Feedback18–22 Oct 202534%56%10%Atlas Intel15–19 Oct 202539%47%14%Panel Ciudadano16–17 Oct 202533%46%21%Activa15–17 Oct 202534.0%42.0%16.1%7.8%Cadem15–17 Oct 202533%49%18%Criteria14–17 Oct 202536%48%16%—CEP22 Sep–17 Oct 202533%41%11%16%LCN3–13 Oct 202544%56%—Panel Ciudadano9–10 Oct 202531%46%23%Cadem8–10 Oct 202536%47%17%Criteria7–9 Oct 202533%46%21%—Signos Analytics25 Sep–4 Oct 202535.9%44.0%7.2%12.9%Panel Ciudadano2–3 Oct 202532%49%19%Criteria30 Sep–2 Oct 202536%47%17%—Panel Ciudadano25–26 Sep 202531%47%22%LCN17–26 Sep 202546.0%54.0%—Criteria23–25 Sep 202535%44%21%—Panel Ciudadano18–19 Sep 202531%47%22%Criteria15–17 Sep 202535%46%19%—Panel Ciudadano11–12 Sep 202533%46%21%Cadem10–12 Sep 202532%43%25%LCN2–12 Sep 202543.7%55.8%—Criteria11 Sep 202535%46%19%—Panel Ciudadano4–5 Sep 202530%48%22%Cadem3–5 Sep 202532%42%26%Criteria2–4 Sep 202536%45%19%—Panel Ciudadano28–29 Aug 202531%46%23%Activa26–29 Aug 202532.9%37.4%19.9%9.8%LCN16–28 Aug 202543.7%56.4%—Criteria26–28 Aug 202533%47%20%—Panel Ciudadano21–22 Aug 202531%50%19%Cadem20–22 Aug 202531%44%25%Criteria19–21 Aug 202532%50%18%—Activa14–15 Aug 202531.9%40.8%3.7%23.6%Panel Ciudadano14–15 Aug 202532%48%20%Criteria12–14 Aug 202535%47%18%LCN1–10 Aug 202546.5%53.5%—Panel Ciudadano7–8 Aug 202532%50%18%Cadem6–8 Aug 202534%48%18%Data Influye30 Jul–3 Aug 202534%41%24%Cadem30 Jul–1 Aug 202537%49%14%Activa30 Jul–1 Aug 202533.5%41.1%4.8%20.5%Panel Ciudadano30–31 Jul 202533%49%18%Criteria29–31 Jul 202534%45%21%LCN12–21 Jul 202545.8%54.2%—Criteria15–17 Jul 202534%47%19%Cadem9–11 Jul 202536%47%17%Data Influye1–6 Jul 202543.7%43.9%12.4%Criteria1–3 Jul 202535%42%23%Panel Ciudadano29–30 Jun 202534%46%20%Cadem25–27 Jun 202530%50%11%9%LCN13–21 Jun 202546.2%53.8%—Cadem7–9 May 202530%45%0%25%

First round Official candidates

Polling firmDateJaraUpChKastPRChMattheiChGUKaiserPNLParisiPDGOminamiInd.Mayne- NichollsInd.ArtésInd.Start of the two-week polling silence period (2 November 2025)Panel Ciudadano30–31 Oct 202526%21%14%14%10%1%3%1%5%5%Activa28–31 Oct 202524.9%16.9%11.2%12.2%14.0%1.9%3.4%0.6%6.2%8.7%Atlas Intel25–30 Oct 202533.2%16.8%13.9%16.8%14.2%1.0%1.9%0.1%2.0%0.2%Black & White28–29 Oct 202530%23%17%20%7%1%3%1%—Criteria27–29 Oct 202527%23%14%15%9%2%3%1%—6%Data Influye23–29 Oct 202527%20%11%13%9%2%3%1%7%7%LCN17–28 Oct 202533.5%17.7%19.3%19.3%4.5%0.7%4.3%0%—Second presidential debate (26 October 2025)Cadem22–24 Oct 202527%20%13%14%11%1%4%1%9%Panel Ciudadano22–24 Oct 202525%22%16%13%11%1%2%1%5%4%Criteria21–23 Oct 202528%23%13%13%9%2%4%1%—7%Black & White21–22 Oct 202529%25%19%18%6%0%3%0%—ICSO-UDP17–21 Oct 202526%24%14%10%9%1%2%0%—14%Atlas Intel15–19 Oct 202532.7%20.1%13.8%13.4%13.2%0.7%2.1%1.0%2.7%0.4%Panel Ciudadano16–17 Oct 202524%23%16%13%9%1%2%1%5%6%Activa15–17 Oct 202525.4%18.7%12.6%8.9%10.4%3.0%2.1%0.6%9.8%8.5%Cadem15–17 Oct 202526%22%14%12%11%1%4%1%9%Criteria14–17 Oct 202529%24%15%12%9%1%3%0%—7%Black & White14–15 Oct 202530%27%18%16%4%0%3%1%—LCN3–13 Oct 202536.0%20.7%18.3%16.7%2.3%0.7%4.7%0.7%—Panel Ciudadano9–10 Oct 202524%25%17%10%8%1%3%1%6%5%Criteria7–9 Oct 202526%26%17%10%8%1%3%1%—8%Black & White7–8 Oct 202531%25%17%14%7%1%4%1%—Signos Analytics25 Sep–4 Oct 202528.3%24.2%13.8%8.1%8.8%2%1.7%0.5%2.3%10.2%Panel Ciudadano2–3 Oct 202527%25%16%11%8%1%2%1%5%4%Cadem1–3 Oct 202527%23%15%11%10%1%4%0%9%Criteria30 Sep–2 Oct 202527%26%17%10%8%1%4%1%—6%Studio Público26–30 Sep 202537.5%23.9%11.9%14.7%5.1%0.8%3.1%0%1.1%1.9%Panel Ciudadano25–26 Sep 202525%25%16%10%9%2%3%0%5%5%Cadem24–26 Sep 202526%23%17%11%9%1%5%0%8%Activa23–26 Sep 202523.9%17.8%11.7%10.1%11.8%1.4%2.8%0.7%11.3%8.5%Data Influye22–26 Sep 202527%26%15%8%7%1%5%1%6%4%La Cosa Nostra17–26 Sep 202537.7%22.2%18.2%13.8%2.8%1.0%4.0%0.7%—Criteria23–25 Sep 202530%24%14%10%9%2%3%1%—7%ICSO-UDP22–25 Sep 202527.0%24.6%12.2%9.6%9.6%1.1%4.8%0.5%—10.6%Black & White23–24 Sep 202530%26%19%11%6%1%4%1%3%Data Veritas17–20 Sep 202532.4%22.2%17.1%15.2%7.5%0.1%3.2%0.5%1.9%—Panel Ciudadano18–19 Sep 202523%25%17%9%10%1%4%1%5%5%Cadem17 Sep 202526%24%16%9%11%1%5%1%7%Black & White16–17 Sep 202528.9%25.9%19.7%12.2%4.3%0.7%5.5%0.9%0.6%1.5%Criteria15–17 Sep 202529%25%16%10%8%1%3%1%—7%Panel Ciudadano11–12 Sep 202524%24%16%10%9%2%4%1%5%5%Criteria11 Sep 202529%27%13%10%7%2%3%1%—8%Atlas Intel10–14 Sep 202538.9%24.7%11.8%9.0%14.5%———0%1.2%Cadem10–12 Sep 202526%25%18%8%11%1%3%1%7%Black & White10–11 Sep 202525.7%31.6%17.9%8.7%7.1%0.9%4.0%0.9%1.5%1.8%Signos Analytics9–14 Sep 202528.3%25.4%13.8%6.8%9%1.5%1.2%0.3%2.5%11.2%LCN2–12 Sep 202536.2%24.7%20.2%11.8%2.2%1.2%3.2%0.7%—First presidential debate (10 September 2025)Panel Ciudadano4–5 Sep 202524%27%18%6%10%2%2%1%10%—Cadem3–5 Sep 202528%26%16%8%11%1%2%1%7%Criteria2–4 Sep 202529%27%17%9%7%1%2%0%—8%Black & White2–3 Sep 202531.9%27.9%18.2%9.6%5.1%1.6%1.8%0.6%1.2%2.2%Data Influye27–31 Aug 202527%22%13%6%6%2%2%1%9%13%Panel Ciudadano28–29 Aug 202524%28%14%7%10%2%2%0%5%8%Cadem27–29 Aug 202526%27%14%8%11%3%2%0%9%Activa26–29 Aug 202532.2%25.4%17.1%7.2%11,1%3.4%1.6%2.0%—24.6%19.4%13.1%5.5%8.5%2.6%1.2%1.5%10.5%13.1%LCN16–28 Aug 202536.0%25.2%17.3%11.8%4.3%1.3%3.5%0.5%—Criteria26–28 Aug 202527%28%14%8%9%2%2%1%9%Black & White26–27 Aug 202532.0%29.9%14.7%10.8%4,.5%1.7%1.9%0.9%2.0%1.0%Atlas Intel20–25 Aug 202533.2%21.6%18.7%9.2%15.8%———1.5%Panel Ciudadano21–22 Aug 202525%28%14%8%9%2%1%1%6%6%Cadem20–22 Aug 202527%28%14%7%11%1%1%1%9%Criteria19–21 Aug 202528%30%14%8%8%2%2%1%—7%Black & White19–20 Aug 202530%35%14%11%5%0%2%0%2%1%

Opinion polls before candidate registration Potential candidates are arranged on the left-right axis according to the coalition or party they belong to, with independents, who are outside any coalition, to the right of the table. The highest percentage for each survey is shown shaded and in bold.

After the Unity for Chile primary Polling firmDateSample sizeMargin of errorJaraUPChParisiPDGMattheiUDIKastPLRKaiserPNLData Influye1–6 Jul 20251.094±2.9%39%5%15%23%7%7%Cadem2–4 Jul 2025703±3.7%26%10%18%22%6%—10%Criteria1–3 Jul 20251,002N.A.31%9%18%22%8%—9%B&W1-2 Jul 2025929±3.2% 39%5%18%25%9%4%Activa30 Jun-1 Jul 20251,006±3.1% 33.8%8.9%16.8%17.3%4.3%15.3%Panel Ciudadano29-30 Jun 20253,873±2% 26%7%19%23%9%11%5%Atlas Intel27–30 Jun 20253,869±2% 38%15.2%18.5%20.2%5.8%2.4%

After the official announcement of candidates Polling firmDateJaraPCWinterFAME-OInd.MuletFRVSToháPPDUndurragaPDCParisiPDGMattheiUDIMuñozPSCKastPLRKaiserPNLCarterInd.Mayne-NichollsInd.Cadem25–27 Jun 202516%2%——4%—10%10%—24%4%——4%26%Cadem17–19 Jun 202513%4%——6%—7%12%—19%6%——4%29%Cadem11–13 Jun 202513%4%——6%—5%14%—18%5%——5%30%Cadem4–6 Jun 20258%5%——7%—5%16%—17%7%——3%32%ICSO-UDP30 May–4 Jun 20257.3%5.5%2.7%0.5%7.8%—5.7%22.8%1%22.6%8.1%—1.8%—15%Criteria2–4 Jun 20257%5%——8%—4%24%—20%8%——10%14%Data Influye28 May–1 Jun 202511%6%2%—12%—3%17%—16%9%——8%17%Activa28–30 May 20257.4%3.6%——6.4%—5.8%21.5%—17.5%7.4%——17.3%13.1%Cadem28–30 May 20257%3%——8%—6%19%—16%7%——3%31%Atlas Intel21–26 May 20259.9%11%——16.7%—12.1%16.6—15,6%11.2%——6.9%Cadem22–23 May 20255%5%——10%—4%17%—16%6%——5%32%Panel Ciudadano20 May 20258%7%3%—10%—5%22%—17%9%2%—17%Cadem14–16 May 20255%6%——10%—3%17%—17%6%——6%30%B&W13-14 May 202513%8%—1%15%—4%20%1%15%17%———7%Criteria12–14 May 20255%5%2%—10%—2%26%—17%10%——10%13%Cadem7–9 May 20254%6%——12%—4%20%—14%6%—1%5%28%ICSO-UDP5–9 May 20256%5%3%0%11%1%5%23%1%19%10%—2%—15%Cadem30 Apr–2 May 20256%6%——11%—4%22%—13%10%——5%23%

2025 Polling firm DateArtésPC(AP)JaduePCJaraPCVallejoPCVodanovicFAME-OInd.MuletFREVSBacheletPSToháPPDMirosevicPLOrregoInd.ParisiPDGMattheiUDIKastPLRKaiserPNLCarterInd.LorenziniInd.Activa26–28 Feb 2025—1.7%—1.8%3.6%——15.9%1.9%——1.7%24.3%10.6%9.7%—1.5%13.9%13.4%Criteria24-26 Feb 2025———2%3%——18%3%———26%10%11%——15%Signos9–14 Feb 2025———2.6%7.8%—1.2%17.3%8.8%——1.8%23.4%10.2%15.8%3.7%—5.7%1.7%Panel Ciudadano (sólo inmigrantes)6-7 Feb 2025———1%2%1%—15%2%——2%24%12%13%3%—14%Cadem5–7 Feb 2025—1%1%1%4%——12%3%2%—1%20%8%13%——4%30%Criteria3–5 Feb 2025———2%3%——13%3%——2%26%9%11%——12%19%Activa30–31 Jan 20250.3%—0.4%1.1%2.8%1.5%—12.2%3.2%0.6%0.3%1.1%27,4%9.6%7.7%0.6%3%16%15%Atlas Intel27–31 Jan 2025———6.1%9.3%——5.6%13.1%——6.1%19.4%8.7%19%——12.7%Signos22–27 Jan 2025———3.9%13.2%——4.2%6.1%——2.8%24.8%11.3%15,3%5.7%—10.6%2,1%Panel Ciudadano14–15 Jan 2025—1%—2%1%1%—7%3%——2%26%11%7%1%—38%Cadem8–10 Jan 2025———2%3%——5%2%——2%23%9%10%——6%38%Criteria6–8 Jan 2025———3%5%2%—11%3%———28%10%7%2%—11%18%

2024 Polling firmDateJadueVallejoVodanovicWinterBacheletPSToháPPDPiñeraChVMattheiUDIKastPLRParisiPDGME-OCarterInd.KaiserInd. IndependentCadem12–14 Jun 20242%3%——6%3%—20%14%2%—1%2%6%41%Criteria31 May – 3 Jun 2024—4%——10%3%—25%13%3%2%——2%38%Activa29–31 May 20242,4%5,2%——9,8%2,4%—26,2%12,1%1,8%——2,3%24,2%13,6%Panel Ciudadano13–14 May 2024—6%2%—11%5%—27%18%4%3%4%3%2%15%Cadem8–10 May 2024—3%—1%3%3%—24%14%2%1%2%2%8%37%La Cosa Nostra24 Apr – 5 May 2024—7,4%—5,1%16,2%10,7%—33,6%12,6%1,8%2,0%—5,2%5,4%—Feedback26 Apr – 3 May 2024—2%2%2%11%5%—26%16%——2%7%5%21%Criteria26–29 Apr 20242%6%——10%4%—30%12%3%2%—2%2%27%Activa24–26 Apr 2024—3,5%——7,1%——28,5%15,6%—2,2%——22,7%20,4%Cadem17–19 Apr 2024—3%——7%3%—24%14%1%1%1%2%6%38%Cadem3–5 Apr 20241%3%——4%2%—25%12%1%—1%1%8%42%Criteria28 Mar – 1 Apr 2024—6%——7%2%—27%15%3%——2%3%35%Activa27–28 Mar 2024—4,5%——8,1%——24,9%11,7%2,5%1,6%—2,5%26,6%17,6%Cadem13–15 Mar 20241%3%1%—4%2%—21%12%2%—2%2%10%40%Criteria1–4 Mar 2024—5%——7%2%—31%17%—2%——4%32%Activa28–29 Feb 2024—3,3%——9,5%2,1%—26,2%10,6%1,7%—1,6%1,6%24.8%18,6%Panel Ciudadano23–24 Feb 2024—6%—2%10%4%—30%16%4%3%4%3%2%16%Cadem14–16 Feb 20241%4%——6%2%—22%19%1%—3%1%8%33%Death of former president Sebastián Piñera (6 February)Activa25–26 Jan 2024—5,1%——6,8%1,5%11,1%17,8%13,3%1,7%———20,7%22,0%Cadem10–12 Jan 20241%2%——5%2%5%16%14%1%—1%—8%45%Criteria4–8 Jan 2024—6%——10%—4%24%17%3%2%2%—17%15%

2023