Opinion polling for the 2025 Australian federal election

In the lead-up to the 2025 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies conducted opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, leaders’ favourability, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred lead.

Graphical summary

Primary vote

Two-party preferred

Voting intention 2025 DateBrandInterviewmode SamplesizePrimary vote 2pp vote 3 May 2025 Election 31.8% 34.6% 12.2% 6.4% 1.9% 13.1% —55.2%44.8%28 Apr – 2 May 2025Roy MorganOnline1,36834.5%33%13.5%6.5%2%10.5%53%47%28 Apr - 1 May 2025IpsosOnline2,57433%28%12%8%2%12%5%51%49%29 Apr – 1 May 2025Freshwater StrategyOnline2,05537%33%12%8%10%51.5%48.5%28 Apr – 1 May 2025NewspollOnline1,27034%33%13%8%12%52.5%47.5%24 Apr – 1 May 2025YouGovOnline3,00331.4%31.1%14.6%8.5%2.5%11.9%52.2%47.8%27–30 Apr 2025DemosAUOnline4,10033%31%12%9%15%52%48%27–29 Apr 2025DemosAUOnline1,97432%29%12%9%18%51%49%24–29 Apr 2025Redbridge/Accenthttps://www.couriermail.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?mode=passentitlementOnline1,01134%34%12%8%12%53%47%24–28 Apr 2025Spectre StrategyOnline2,00034%31%14.5%9.5%11%53%47%23–28 Apr 2025Resolve StrategicTelephone/Online2,01035%31%14%7%13%53%47%24–27 Apr 2025EssentialOnline2,16334%32%13%10%2%9%52.1%47.9%21–27 Apr 2025Roy MorganOnline1,52434.5%34%13%7.5%1.5%9.5%53%47% 27 Apr 2025 The fourth leaders' debate takes place21–25 Apr 2025NewspollOnline1,25435%34%11%8%12%52%48%1–25 Apr 2025YouGov MRPOnline10,82231.1%31.4%12.6%9.1%15.7%52.9%47.1%22–23 Apr 2025DemosAUOnline1,07331%29%14%9%3%14%52%48%17–22 Apr 2025YouGovOnline1,50031%33.5%14%10.5%2%9%53.5%46.5% 22 Apr 2025 The third leaders' debate takes place and early voting begins14–20 Apr 2025Roy MorganOnline1,60534%34.5%14.5%6%0.5%11%55.5%44.5%14–17 Apr 2025NewspollOnline1,26335%34%12%7%12%52%48%14–16 Apr 2025Freshwater StrategyOnline1,06239%32%12%17%50%50% 16 Apr 2025 The second leaders' debate takes place 11–15 Apr 2025YouGovOnline1,50633%33%13%7%2%12%53%47% 9–14 Apr 2025EssentialOnline2,14232%31%13%9%2%9%4%50%45%9–13 Apr 2025Resolve StrategicOnline1,64234%31%13%6%17%53.5%46.5%7–13 Apr 2025Roy MorganOnline1,70833.5%32%14.5%6%1%13%54.5%45.5%7–10 Apr 2025NewspollOnline1,27135%33%12%8%12%52%48%4–10 Apr 2025YouGovOnline1,50533.5%32.0%13.0%8.5%1.0%12.0%52.5%47.5% 8 Apr 2025 The first leaders' debate takes place 31 Mar – 4 Apr 2025NewspollOnline1,25036%33%12%7%12%52%48%31 Mar – 4 Apr 2025Roy MorganOnline1,48133%32.5%13.5%6%1.5%13.5%53.5%46.5%28 Mar – 3 Apr 2025YouGovOnline1,62235%30%13%7%2%13%51%49%28 Mar – 1 Apr 2025Redbridge/AccentOnline1,00636%33%12%19%52%48%28–30 Mar 2025Freshwater StrategyOnline1,05939%32%12%17%49%51%26–30 Mar 2025Resolve StrategicOnline3,23737%29%13%7%14%50%50%26–30 Mar 2025EssentialOnline1,10034%30%12%9%2%8%5%48%47%24–30 Mar 2025Roy MorganOnline1,37735%32%13%5.5%14.5%53%47%27–29 Mar 2025NewspollOnline1,24937%33%12%6%12%51%49% 28 Mar 2025 The 2025 Australian federal election is called for 3 May27 Feb – 26 Mar 2025YouGov MRPOnline10,21735.5%29.8%13.2%9.3%12.2%50.2%49.8%13–24 Mar 2025Redbridge/AccentOnline2,03938%34%11%17%51%49%17–23 Mar 2025Roy MorganOnline1,68335.5%33.5%12.5%4%14.5%53%47%14–19 Mar 2025YouGovOnline1,50037%31%13%7%1%11%50%50%12–16 Mar 2025EssentialOnline2,25635%29%12%8%1%9%6%47%47%10–16 Mar 2025Roy MorganOnline2,09734%32.5%13.5%5%15%54.5%45.5%13–15 Mar 2025Freshwater StrategyOnline1,05139%31%14%16%49%51%7–13 Mar 2025YouGovOnline1,52636%31%13.5%7.5%1%11%51%49%3–11 Mar 2025Redbridge/AccentOnline2,00737%32%12%19%51%49%3–9 Mar 2025Roy Morgan<ref name="Morgan11March2025"Online1,71937%30%13.5%5%14.5%51.5%48.5%3–7 Mar 2025NewspollOnline1,25539%32%12%7%10%49%51%28 Feb – 6 Mar 2025YouGovOnline1,50436%31%13%7%1%12%51%49%26 Feb – 2 Mar 2025EssentialOnline1,15035%29%13%8%1%10%5%47%48%24 Feb – 2 Mar 2025Roy MorganOnline1,67340%28.5%13.5%4%14%49.5%50.5%21–27 Feb 2025YouGovOnline1,50137%28%14%8%1%12%49%51%20–25 Feb 2025RedBridge/AccentOnline1,00241%34%12%13%49.5%50.5%21–23 Feb 2025Freshwater StrategyOnline1,03841%31%13%15%48%52%18–23 Feb 2025Resolve StrategicOnline1,50639%25%13%9%13%45%55%17–23 Feb 2025Roy MorganOnline1,66636.5%31.5%13.5%5%13.5%51%49%12–16 Feb 2025EssentialOnline1,14635%30%12%9%1%9%4%48%48%10–16 Feb 2025Roy MorganOnline1,66639.5%28%12.5%5.5%14.5%48.5%51.5%10–14 Feb 2025NewspollOnline1,24438%31%12%7%12%49%51%22 Jan – 12 Feb 2025YouGov MRPOnline8,73237.4%29.1%12.7%9.1%11.7%48.9%51.1%4–11 Feb 2025RedBridge/AccentOnline1,00243%33%12%12%48%52%3–9 Feb 2025Roy MorganOnline1,68840.5%29%11%4%15.5%48.5%51.5%3–7 Feb 2025RedBridge GroupOnline1,01340%31%11%18%48.5%51.5%29 Jan – 3 Feb 2025EssentialOnline1,15036%30%12%8%1%9%4%47%49%27 Jan – 2 Feb 2025Roy MorganOnline1,69438.5%30%11.5%5.5%14.5%50%50%28 Jan – 1 Feb 2025DemosAUOnline1,23838%33%12%7%10%5%50%50%20–26 Jan 2025Roy MorganOnline1,56740.5%29.5%11.5%6%12.5%48%52%20–24 Jan 2025NewspollOnline1,25939%31%12%7%11%49%51%15–21 Jan 2025Resolve StrategicOnline1,61638%27%13%7%16%48%52%17–19 Jan 2025Freshwater StrategyOnline1,06340%32%13%15%49%51%15–19 Jan 2025EssentialOnline1,13237%30%12%7%2%7%5%47%48%13–19 Jan 2025Roy MorganOnline1,56442%28.5%13%4%12.5%48%52%9–15 Jan 2025YouGovOnline1,50439%32%12%7%10%49%51%6–12 Jan 2025Roy MorganOnline1,72140.5%30%12.5%4.5%12.5%48.5%51.5%30 Dec – 5 Jan 2025Roy MorganOnline1,44640.5%31%12%3.5%13%47%53%

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