This page lists public opinion polls that have been conducted in relation to the issue of Catalan independence.
Polling institutions
Centre for Opinion Studies The Centre for Opinion Studies (Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió; CEO) fell under the purview of the Economy Ministry of the Generalitat of Catalonia until early 2011. Since then it has been placed under direct control of the Presidency of the Generalitat and is currently headed by Jordi Argelaguet i Argemí. Since the second quarter of 2011, CEO has conducted polls regarding public sentiments toward independence.
Date In favor (%) Against (%) Others (%) Abstain (%) Do not know (%) Did not reply (%) 2011 2nd series 42.9 28.2 0.5 23.3 4.4 0.8 2011 3rd series 45.4 24.7 0.6 23.8 4.6 1.0 2012 1st series 44.6 24.7 1.0 24.2 4.6 0.9 2012 2nd series 51.1 21.1 1.0 21.1 4.7 1.1 2012 3rd series 57.0 20.5 0.6 14.3 6.2 1.5 2013 1st series 54.7 20.7 1.1 17.0 5.4 1.0 2013 2nd series 55.6 23.4 0.6 15.3 3.8 1.3 2013 3rd series 54.7 22.1 1.3 15.7 4.9 1.4 2014 1st series - - - - - - 2014 2nd series 44.5 45.3 - - 7.5 2.8 2015 1st series 44.1 48.0 - - 6.0 1.8 2015 2nd series 42.9 50.0 - - 5.8 1.3 2015 3rd series 46.7 47.8 - - 3.9 1.7 2016 1st series 45.3 45.5 - - 7.1 2.1 2016 2nd series 47.7 42.4 - - 8.3 1.72016 3rd series 44.9 45.1 - - 7.0 2.9 2017 1st series 44.3 48.5 - - 5.6 1.6 2017 2nd series 41.1 49.4 - - 7.8 1.7 2017 3rd series 48.7 43.6 - - 6.5 1.3 2018 1st series 48.0 43.7 - - 5.7 2.6 2018 2nd series 46.7 44.9 - - 6.7 1.6 2019 1st series 48.4 44.1 - - 6.7 1.6 2019 2nd series 44.0 48.3 - - 5.5 2.12019 3rd series 43.7 47.9 - - 6.5 1.92020 1st series 44.9 47.1 - - 6.5 1.62020 2nd series 42.0 50.5 - - 5.6 1.92020 3rd series 43.6 49.0 - - 5.8 1.62021 - - - - - -2022 1st series 44 48 - - - -2022 2nd series 41 52 - - - -2022 3rd series 42 50 - - - -2023 1st series 43 50 - - - -2023 2nd series 42 52 - - - -2023 3rd series 41 52 - - - -2024 1st series 42 51 - - - -2024 2nd series 40 53 - - - -2024 3rd series 40 54 - - - -2025 1st series 38 54 - - - -2025 2nd series 40 52 - - - -2025 3rd series 39 53 - - - -June 2026 series 45 51 - - - - The question was not asked in this survey; instead the two part question was asked (see below).
Unlike the other polls, this one was conducted via Computer-Assisted Telephone Interview and is excluded in other CEO barometers.
CEO likewise conducted polls in the 1st and 2nd series of 2014 based on the 9N independence referendum format. The questions and choices involved were: Do you want Catalonia to become a State? (Yes/No) If the answer for question 1 is in the affirmative: Do you want this State to be independent? (Yes/No)
Date Yes + Yes (%) Yes + No (%) No (%) Abstain (%) Others (%) Do not know/Did not reply (%) 2014 1st series 47.1 8.6 19.3 11.1 2.7 11.2 2014 2nd series 49.4 12.6 19.7 6.9 6.2 3.3
In addition, CEO performs regular polls studying opinion of Catalan citizens regarding Catalonia's political status within Spain. The following table contains the answers to the question "Which kind of political entity should Catalonia be with respect to Spain?":
Date Independent state (%) Federal state within Spain (%) Autonomous community within Spain (%) Region within Spain (%) Do not know (%) Did not reply (%) June 2005 13.6 31.3 40.8 7.0 6.2 1.1 November 2005 12.9 35.8 37.6 5.6 6.9 1.2 March 2006 13.9 33.4 38.2 8.1 5.1 1.2 July 2006 14.9 34.1 37.3 6.9 6.1 0.7 October 2006 14.0 32.9 38.9 8.3 5.1 0.8 November 2006 15.9 32.8 40.0 6.8 3.7 0.8 March 2007 14.5 35.3 37.0 6.1 4.9 2.2 July 2007 16.9 34.0 37.3 5.5 5.4 1.0 October 2007 18.5 34.2 35.0 4.7 6.0 1.5 December 2007 17.3 33.8 37.8 5.1 5.0 1.0 January 2008 19.4 36.4 34.8 3.8 4.1 1.6 May 2008 17.6 33.4 38.9 5.1 4.3 0.7 July 2008 16.1 34.7 37.0 6.1 5.2 0.9 November 2008 17.4 31.8 38.3 7.1 4.2 1.2 February 2009 16.1 35.2 38.6 4.5 3.6 2.0 May 2009 20.9 35.0 34.9 4.4 3.0 1.7 July 2009 19.0 32.2 36.8 6.2 4.2 1.6 December 2009 21.6 29.9 36.9 5.9 4.1 1.6 2010 1st series 19.4 29.5 38.2 6.9 4.4 1.6 2010 2nd series 21.5 31.2 35.2 7.3 4.0 0.7 2010 3rd series 24.3 31.0 33.3 5.4 4.9 1.0 2010 4th series 25.2 30.9 34.7 5.9 2.7 0.7 2011 1st series 24.5 31.9 33.2 5.6 3.5 1.3 2011 2nd series 25.5 33.0 31.8 5.6 3.4 0.8 2011 3rd series 28.2 30.4 30.3 5.7 3.9 1.5 2012 1st series 29.0 30.8 27.8 5.2 5.4 1.8 2012 2nd series 34.0 28.7 25.4 5.7 5.0 1.3 2012 3rd series 44.3 25.5 19.1 4.0 4.9 2.2 2013 1st series 46.4 22.4 20.7 4.4 4.9 1.2 2013 2nd series 47.0 21.2 22.8 4.6 3.5 0.9 2013 3rd series 48.5 21.3 18.6 5.4 4.0 2.2 2014 1st series 45.2 20.0 23.3 2.6 6.9 2.0 2014 2nd series 45.3 22.2 23.4 1.8 6.5 0.9 2015 1st series 39.1 26.1 24.0 3.4 5.3 2.0 2015 2nd series 37.6 24.0 29.3 4.0 3.9 1.1 2015 3rd series 41.1 22.2 27.4 3.7 4.2 1.4 2016 1st series 38.5 26.3 25.1 4.1 4.5 1.5 2016 2nd series 41.6 20.9 26.5 4.0 5.6 1.3 2016 3rd series 38.9 23.2 24.1 5.7 N/A N/A 2016 4th series 36.1 29.2 23.6 4.5 3.4 3.2 2017 1st series 37.3 21.7 28.5 7.0 3.8 1.6 2017 2nd series 34.7 21.7 30.5 5.3 6.1 1.7 2017 3rd series 40.2 21.9 27.4 4.6 4.7 1.2 2018 1st series 40.8 22.4 24.0 6.3 4.6 2.0 2018 2nd series 38.8 22.4 25.5 7.8 4.4 1.1 2019 1st series 39.7 21.5 26.3 5.9 4.7 1.9 2019 2nd series 34.5 24.5 27.0 7.8 4.6 1.62019 3rd series 36.721.728.05.95.81.82020 1st series 35.5 23.9 26.8 6.5 5.5 1.72020 2nd series 33.9 22.9 29.6 6.8 5.2 1.72020 3rd series 34.9 22.6 28.0 6.4 6.0 2.12021 - - - - - -2022 1st series 35 23 28 6 - -2022 2nd series 34 21 30 8 - -2022 3rd series 33 20 29 8 - -2023 1st series 33 23 32 6 - -2023 2nd series 33 23 31 7 - -2023 3rd series 31 24 31 6 - -2024 1st series 31 23 31 9 - -2024 2nd series 31 22 34 7 - -2024 3rd series 30 22 34 6 - -2025 1st series 28 22 36 8 - -2025 2nd series 32 22 32 7 - -2025 3rd series 31 23 33 6 - -June 2026 series 36 22 30 7 - -
Social and Political Sciences Institute of Barcelona
The Political Sciences Institute of Barcelona (Institut de Ciències Polítiques i Socials; ICPS) performed an opinion poll annually from 1989, which sometimes included a section on independence. The results are in the following table:
Year Support (%) Against (%) Indifferent (%) Did not reply (%) 1991 35 50 11 4 1992 31 53 11 5 1993 37 50 9 5 1994 35 49 14 3 1995 36 52 10 3 1996 29 56 11 4 1997 32 52 11 5 1998 32 55 10 3 1999 32 55 10 3 2000 32 53 13 3 2001 33 55 11 1 2002 34 52 12 1 2003 43 43 12 1 2004 39 44 13 3 2005 36 44 15 6 2006 33 48 17 2 2007 31.7 51.3 14.1 2.9 2011 41.4 22.9 26.5 9.2
telephonic instead of door-to-door interview
Newspaper polls Catalan newspapers El Periódico and La Vanguardia also published surveys up to 2013.
El Periódico Date Yes (%) No (%) Others (%)October 200733.9 43.922.3December 200939.0 40.620.4June 2010 48.135.516.6January 2012 53.632.014.4September 2012 46.422.025.7November 2012 50.936.912.2November 201240.1 47.812.1May 2013 57.836.06.3 The same poll, but asking what would be the case if a yes vote would imply leaving the EU
La Vanguardia DateYes (%)No (%)Others (%)November 200935 4619March 201036 4420May 201037 4122July 2010 473617September 201040 4515April 20113430 35September 2012 54.833.510.16December 201344.9 4510.1
References
External links ICPS studies CEO studies