Opinion polling for the 2024 Indonesian presidential election

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2024 Indonesian presidential election. Incumbent president Joko Widodo is ineligible to run for a third term.

First round After candidate nominations National

Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar 14 February 2024Election results58.59%24.95%16.47%Litbang Kompas14 February 202458.45%25.25%16.30%Charta Politika14 February 202457.99%25.36%16.64%SMRC14 February 20241,99458.36%24.86%16.78%Lembaga Survei Indonesia14 February 20241%57.46%25.30%17.23%Indikator14 February 20243,0000.52%58.17%25.38%16.46%LSI Denny JA14 February 202458.47%24.98%16.55%Poltracking14 February 20243,0001%58.51%25.13%16.36%Populi Center14 February 20240.16%59.08%25.06%15.86%CSIS - Cyrus Network14 February 20242,0001%58.22%24.94%16.84%Politika Research & Consulting14 February 202459.22%24.07%16.71%SPIN5 - 8 February 20241,2002.8%54.8%24.3%16.1%LSI Denny JA26 January - 6 February 20241,2002.9%53.5%21.7%19.2%Lembaga Survei Indonesia29 January - 5 February 20241,2202.9%51.9%23.3%20.3% 4 February 2024Fifth presidential debateIndikator28 January - 4 February 20241,2002.9%51.8%24.1%19.6%Populi Center27 January - 3 February 20241,5002.53%52.5%22.1%16.9%Poltracking25 January - 2 February 20241,2202.9%50.9%25.1%18.4%Lembaga Point Indonesia26 - 28 January 20241,5002.53%52.9%22.7%19.1%Political Weather Station21 - 25 January 20241,2202.81%52.3%21.3%19.7%LSI Denny JA16 - 26 January 20241,2002.9%50.7%22%19.7% 21 January 2024Fourth presidential debatePolling Institute15 - 16 January 20241,2192.9%48.7%23%20.9%Indonesia Survey Center11 - 19 January 20241,6702.4%52%21.7%18.1%Indikator10 - 16 January 20241,2002.9%48.6%24.2%21.6%SPIN8 - 14 January 20242,1782.1%50.9%18.7%23.5%Lembaga Survei Indonesia10 - 11 January 20241,2062.9%47.0%23.2%21.7%Indonesia Polling Stations7 - 13 January 20241,2202.8%51.8%21.3%19.2%Charta Politika4 - 11 January 20241,2202.82%42.2%26.7%28.0%LSI Denny JA3 - 11 January 20241,2002.9%46.6%22.8%24.8% 7 January 2024Third presidential debateIndonesia Political Opinion 1 - 7 January 20241,2002.5%42.3%34.5%21.5%Poltracking1 - 7 January 20241,2202.9%46.7%26.9%20.6%Indikator30 December 2023 - 6 January 20241,2002%45,8%25,5%23%Ipsos Public Affairs27 December 2023 - 5 January 20242,0002.19%48.1%21.8%18.4%Lembaga Survei Nasional28 December 2023 - 2 January 20241,4202.6%49.5%24.3%20.5%Median23 December 2023 - 1 January 20241,5002.53%43.1%26.8%20.1%Polling Institute26 - 28 December 20231,2462.9%46.2%24.6%21.3%PRC20 - 27 December 20231,2002.7%42.4% 28.0% 21.8% ICRC20 - 26 December 20231,2302.79%39.4%25.6%29.1%Indikator23 - 24 December 20231,2172.9%46.7%21.0%24.5%LSI Denny JA17 - 23 December 20231,2002.9%43.3%25.3%22.9% 22 December 2023Second presidential debatePolling Institute15 - 19 December 20232,1302.9%46.1%22.1%20.5%CSIS13 - 18 December 20231,3002.7%43.7%26.1%19.4%Puspoll11 - 18 December 20231,2202.83%41%26.1%27.6% 12 December 2023First presidential debateIndikator Publik3 - 11 December 20231,6702.4%50.2%22.7%23.1%Poltracking29 November - 5 December 20231,2202.9%45.2%23.1%27.3%Populi Center28 November - 5 December 20231,2002.83%46.7%21.7%21.7%Litbang Kompas29 November - 4 December 2023 1,3642.65%39.3% 16.7% 15.3% Indikator23 November - 1 December 20231,2002.9%38.2% 19.1% 20.4% LSI Denny JA6 - 13 November 20231,2002.90%40.3% 20.3% 28.6% Populi Center29 October - 5 November 20231,2002.83%43.1% 22.3% 23.0% Poltracking28 October - 3 November 20231,2202.9%40.2% 24.4% 30.1% Indikator27 October - 1 November 20231,2202.9%39.7% 24.4% 30.0% Charta Politika26 - 31 October 20232,4002.0%34.7% 24.3% 36.8% Indo Barometer25 - 31 October 20231,2302.79%43.5% 23.2% 33.3%

By province Banten Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator27 October - 1 November 2023Part of national surveyPart of national survey55.1% 34.8% 10.1%

Jakarta Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator27 October - 1 November 2023Part of national surveyPart of national survey 29.8% 39.2% 17.2%

West Java Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator27 October - 1 November 2023Part of national surveyPart of national survey37.7% 30.1% 26.7%

East Java Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator27 October - 1 November 2023Part of national surveyPart of national survey49.0% 16.2% 30.0%

2023 Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator27 October - 1 November1,2202.9%40.6% 23.7% 27.8% Charta Politika26 - 31 October2,4002.0%35.3% 24.3% 36.9% 19 - 25 OctoberCandidate registration periodIndikator16 - 20 October2,5671.97%37% 22.3% 34.8% Ipsos Public Affairs17 - 19 October1,2072.83%31.3% 28.9% 32%Lembaga Survei Indonesia16 - 18 October1,2292.9% 35.8% 19.7% 30.9% Indikator2 - 10 October1,2002.9%37.0% 21.9% 34.5% Ipsos Public Affairs1 - 10 October2,0392.19%30.1% 20% 29.8% Lembaga Survei Indonesia2 - 8 October1,6202.5%37.0% 22.7% 35.2% Alvara Research Center1 - 6 October1,5172.52%30.1% 19.4% 36.5%Polling Institute1 - 3 October1,2062,9%36.5% 18,7% 31,2% Indonesia Survey Center17 - 27 September1,2002.83%42.3% 20.4% 33.1% Lingkaran Survei Indonesia4 - 12 September1,2002.9%39.8% 14.5% 37.9% Poligov5 - 11 September1,2002.9%33.6% 15.8% 33.1% SMRC5 - 8 September1,2122.9%31.7% 16.5% 35.4% Poltracking3 - 9 September1,2202.9%38.9% 19.9% 37% Ipsos Public Affairs22 - 27 August1,2002.83%37.2% 22.7% 40.1% Lembaga Survei Nasional14 - 24 August1,4202.6%40.7% 22.1% 31.4% Lembaga Survei Jakarta14 - 24 August1,2002.83%40.8% 20.9% 33.1% Political Weather Station13 - 20 August1,2002.83%40.8% 19.5% 35.6% Lembaga Survei Indonesia3 - 9 August1,2202.90%35.3% 22.2% 37.0% SMRC31 July - 11 August4,2601.65%33.6% 20.4% 35.9% Litbang Kompas27 July - 7 August1,3642.65%31.3% 19.2% 34.1% SPIN15 – 25 July1,2302.80%41.7% 21.0% 30.3% Indikator15 - 21 July1,8112.35%33.2% 23.9% 35.2% Lembaga Survei Nasional10 – 19 July1,4202.60%40.5% 22.4% 30.8% Lembaga Survei Indonesia1 – 8 July1,242 2.80%35.8% 21.4% 32.2% Indikator20 – 24 June1,2202.90%36.8% 21.5% 35.7%Political Weather Station10 – 18 June1,2002.83%40.5% 20.8% 33.4% Utting Research12 – 17 June1,2002.80% 33% 27% 34% Populi Center5 – 12 June1,2002.83%33.4% 23.2% 35.8% Indopol5 – 11 June1,2402.85%31.2% 26.5% 30.5% Algoritma29 May - 10 June2,0092.1%30.8% 22.1% 34.0% Lembaga Survei Nasional24 May – 3 June1,4202.60%38.5% 21.9% 32.8% SMRC30 – 31 May9093.30% 33.5% 19.2% 37.9% Indikator26 – 30 May1,2302.90%38.0% 18.9% 34.2%SMRC23 – 24 May9153.30% 32.8% 20.1% 35.9% LSI Denny JA3 – 14 May1,2002.90%33.9% 20.8% 31.9%Populi Center4 – 12 May1,2002.83%35.8% 21.5% 34.4%Litbang Kompas29 Apr – 10 May1,2002.83% 36.8% 23.2%40.0%Charta Politika2 – 7 May1,2202.82% 31.1% 23.6%38.2%SMRC30 Apr – 7 May1,2203.10% 32.1% 19.7% 39.2% SMRC2 – 5 May9253.30%34.5% 21.7% 33.3% Indikator30 Apr – 5 May1,2002.90%34.8% 21.8% 34.4%Lembaga Survei Nasional25 Apr – 2 May1,2302.80%36.5% 24.6% 25.8% Charta Politika27 – 30 Apr1,2002.83% 33.2% 23.0%36.6%Indikator11 – 17 Apr1,2202.90% 31.7% 25.2%34.0%Poltracking9 – 15 Apr1,220 2.90%33.0% 22.4% 31.1%Lembaga Survei Indonesia31 Mar – 4 Apr1,229 2.90%30.3% 25.3% 26.9%Indikator12 – 18 Mar8003.50% 27.0% 26.8%36.8%SMRC2 – 11 Mar1,2203.10% 27.2% 24.8%35.5%Populi Center25 Jan – 3 Feb1,2002.83% 28.8% 24.5%36.3%Lembaga Survei Indonesia7 – 11 Jan1,2212.9% 23.2% 24.2%36.3%

By province Banten Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator2 - 10 October3505.3%41.9% 30.6% 25.3% Lembaga Survei Indonesia1 – 8 JulyPart of national surveyPart of national survey47.8% 31.7% 15.0% Lembaga Survei Nasional24 May – 3 JunePart of national surveyPart of national survey57.3% 19.2% 19.8% LSI Denny JA3 – 14 MayPart of national surveyPart of national survey48.2% 17.5% 4.3%

Jakarta Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator2 - 10 October4005.0% 27.0% 40.3% 28.4% Lembaga Survei Indonesia1 – 8 JulyPart of national surveyPart of national survey 24.8% 27.0%42.9%Lembaga Survei Nasional24 May – 3 JunePart of national surveyPart of national survey 27.1% 40.3% 27.5%

West Java Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator2 - 10 October4005.0%48.7% 29.6% 20.7% Lembaga Survei Indonesia1 – 8 JulyPart of national surveyPart of national survey 30.2% 38.6% 25.7% Fixpoll15 – 23 June8403.38%38.4% 33.7% 15.9% Lembaga Survei Nasional24 May – 3 JunePart of national surveyPart of national survey53.2% 22.5% 20.4% LSI Denny JA3 – 14 MayPart of national surveyPart of national survey29.0% 26.3% 15.0%

Central Java Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator2 - 10 October4005.0% 26.1% 8.3%63.2%Lembaga Survei Nasional24 May – 3 JunePart of national surveyPart of national survey 25.3% 12.8%58.6%LSI Denny JA3 – 14 MayPart of national surveyPart of national survey 20.4% 4.3%55.2%

East Java Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator2 - 10 October4005.0% 35.8% 12.9%44.5%Surabaya Survey Center25 July – 3 August1,2002.83% 37.8% 17.3% 41.5% ARCI4 – 15 July1,2502.8%33.7% 23.3% 30.5% Lembaga Survei Indonesia1 – 8 JulyPart of national surveyPart of national survey 38.4% 10.7% 42.5% Lembaga Survei Nasional24 May – 3 JunePart of national surveyPart of national survey41.2% 13.3% 40.8% Surabaya Research Syndicate20 – 30 May1,0003.10%43.5% 12.8% 38.5%Arus Survei Indonesia15 – 22 May8003.00%38.2% 12.1% 36.4%Fixpoll9 – 16 May8403.00% 31.7% 11.9%32.1%LSI Denny JA3 – 14 MayPart of national surveyPart of national survey 20.2% 8.2%35.3%ARCI25 April – 4 May1,2492.8%29.7% 15.2% 28.5%

Lampung Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator2 - 10 October3005.8%45.9% 17.3% 32.0% Lembaga Survei Indonesia19 – 26 June1,6203.5% 38.3% 14.9%39.7%Lembaga Survei Nasional24 May – 3 JunePart of national surveyPart of national survey 35.4% 15.5%40.2%

North Sumatra Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator2 - 10 October3505.3%37.2% 31.1% 25.3% Lembaga Survei Nasional24 May – 3 JunePart of national surveyPart of national survey42.5% 13.2% 40.6% LSI Denny JA3 – 14 MayPart of national surveyPart of national survey50.0% 32.6% 16.2%

West Sumatra Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator26 June – 10 July16202.7%48.0% 39.5% 6.2%

South Sumatra Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator2 - 10 October3005.8%50.9% 14.7% 22.3% Lembaga Survei Nasional24 May – 3 JunePart of national surveyPart of national survey38.5% 24.3% 28.7%

South Sulawesi Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo Anies Ganjar Indikator2 - 10 October3005.8%48.5% 34.2% 7.9% Lembaga Survei Nasional24 May – 3 JunePart of national surveyPart of national survey35.6% 26.5% 30.2%

Second round after candidate nominations Prabowo-Gibran vs. Ganjar-Mahfud Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo-Gibran Ganjar-MahfudPopuli Center29 October - 5 November 20231,2002.83%59.3% 29.3%Poltracking28 October - 3 November 20231,2202.9%49.9% 32.9% Indikator27 October - 1 November 20231,2202.9%53.6% 33.3% Charta Politika26 - 31 October 20232,4002.0%43.5% 40.6%

Prabowo-Gibran vs. Anies-Muhaimin Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Prabowo-Gibran Anies-Muhaimin Populi Center29 October - 5 November 20231,2002.83%59.8% 28.6%Poltracking28 October - 3 November 20231,2202.9%55.8% 28.8% Indikator27 October - 1 November 20231,2202.9%58.0% 28.6% Charta Politika26 - 31 October 20232,4002.0%50.3% 29.0%

Ganjar-Mahfud vs. Anies-Muhaimin