Opinion polling for the 2016 Philippine presidential election

Opinion polling, locally known as surveys, in the 2016 Philippine presidential and vice presidential elections is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, and other pollsters. The last electoral votes were cast on Monday, May 9, 2016.

As the positions of president and vice president are elected separately, pollsters usually have separate surveys for each position.

The figure representing the polling numbers for the candidate that topped each poll is emboldened unless two or more candidates tied, when they are all emboldened. Those figures which are within the margin of error are italicized.

Calendar

Filing of candidacies: October 12 to 16, 2015 Campaign period for candidates for president, vice president, senators and party-list representatives: February 9 to May 7, 2016 Campaign period for local positions and district representatives: March 26 to May 7, 2016 Casting of ballots for local absentee voters: April 27 to 29, 2016 Election day: May 9, 2016

Polling for president Graphical summary

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeMoE Binay Poe Duterte Roxas Santiago Refused Don't know Undecided / None Election resultsMay 9, 201612.7321.3139.0223.453.42SWSExit poll13.519.239.324.03.1D' StraffordMay 1–5, 2016±1.2%16.622.525.430.53–0.31.7SWSMay 1–3, 2016±1.0%132233202–64ArgusApr 28–30, 2016±1.9%192731194–––StandardApr 27-May 1, 2016±1.8%152532222––4Antonio Trillanes' exposé on Rodrigo Duterte's alleged multimillion peso bank accounts and properties (April 27).Pulse AsiaApr 26–29, 2016±1.5%172133222––5D' StraffordApr 25–29, 2016±1.2%172425283––1The CenterApr 23–29, 2016±2.5%232529212–––Third presidential debate in Dagupan (April 24).Pulse AsiaApr 19–24, 2016±1.5%182233202––5SWSApr 18–20, 2016±2%142433192–53Rodrigo Duterte makes a joke about a murdered and raped Australian kidnap victim in a campaign rally (April 17).Pulse AsiaApr 16–20, 2016±2.3%1623351720.3–5D' StraffordApr 13–18, 2016±1.9%192620264––4Pulse AsiaMarcos still leading VP pick – ABS-CBN poll." Rappler, April 24, 2016.Apr 12–17, 2016±1.5%192234182134The CenterApr 11–16, 2016±2.5%23.2526.2526.7520.752––1The Supreme Court declares their vote on Grace Poe's natural-born status and 10-year residency is final and executory, and she is eligible to the presidency (April 9).Pulse AsiaApr 5–10, 2016±1.5%202532181121The CenterApr 1–7, 2016±2.5%222529192––2.3Pulse AsiaMar 29–Apr 3, 2016±1.5%202530192––4MBC–DZRHApr 2, 2016±1.13%15.328.23615.23.5––1.8SWSMar 30–Apr 2, 2016±3%202327183–––Standard Mar 26–Apr 1, 2016±1.8%182730212––2Second presidential debate in Cebu City (March 20).Pulse AsiaMar 15–20, 2016±1.5%232824192––4Pulse AsiaMar 8–13, 2016±1.5%222625203––5The Supreme Court affirms Grace Poe's natural-born status and declares she is qualified to run (March 8).SWSMar 4–7, 2016±2%242721224––1Pulse AsiaMar 1–6, 2016±1.9%212824203––6StandardFeb 24–Mar 1, 2016±1.8%232624222––4Pulse AsiaFeb 23–27, 2016±1.9%222523203–––Pulse AsiaFeb 16–27, 2016±1.4%242622193222First presidential debate in Cagayan de Oro (February 21).Pulse AsiaFeb 15–20, 2016±2%252621213––4MBC–DZRHFeb 13, 2016±1.13%23.22726.4193.9––2.3

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeMoE Binay Poe Duterte Roxas Santiago David Sabio Señeres Syjuco Others Refused Don't know None 2016SWSFeb 5-7, 2016±3%292424184–––––––2StandardJan 27-Feb 4, 2016±1.8%222920222–––––––4Pulse AsiaJan 24–28, 2016±3%233020204––––0.10.411SWSJan 8–10, 2016±2%312420213–00.1–02RMNJan 5-14, 2016±2.5%21.4928.5927.8615.125.14–––––––1.792015SWSDec 12–14, 2015±3%2626202240.10.04000.11StandardDec 4–12, 2015±2%232819223––––0.1––4Pulse AsiaDec 4–11, 2015±2.6%332123214–0.100–0.311MBC–DZRHNov 27, 2015±1.14%18.6325.1430.2514.926.220.210.080.310.102.23––1.92RMNOct 25-Nov 5, 2015±2.5%22.9537.15–19.6411.74–––––––8.52

Until candidacy filing ended on 16 October 2015

Single-choice surveys Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeMoE Others Refused Don't know None 2015Pulse AsiaSep 8–15, 2015±2%1926162035–1–––26––3SWSSep 2–5, 2015±3%2426112012340.84––80.8–8 Pulse AsiaAug 27–Sep 3, 2015±3%2127151845–15––1––––RMNAug 11–18, 2015±2.5%26.1624.8412.4218.144.336–1.90.06––1.83––––Pulse AsiaMay 30–Jun 5, 2015±3%22301510610–2–––2–––Others: 1%10.41Laylo May 8–18, 2015±2.6%2824108810433––1––––IBONMay 13–23, 2015±3%13.813.77.63.8––––––––––––46.1Pulse AsiaMar 1–7, 2015±3%29141249124361–1–––10.122014Pulse AsiaNov 14–20, 2014±3%2618–61210734123–110.30.50.2Pulse AsiaSep 8–15, 2014±3%3110–13111051420.41–1– –Pulse AsiaJun 24–Jul 6, 2014±3%4112–77975511––2–Others: 2%10.51Pulse AsiaMar 19–26, 2014±3%4015–610–945––2–3–0.030.20.4

Three-choice surveys These surveys asked participants to rank up to three candidates. Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeMoE Others Don't know/refused None SWSSep 2–5, 2015±3%35473916236151––1–––––52SWSJun 5–8, 2015±3%344221204742371–1––1–195SWSMar 20–23, 2015±3%3631151511118471313111––312SWSNov 27–Dec 1, 2014±2%3721195109933255211115158

Polling for vice president Graphical summary

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeMoE Escudero Marcos Cayetano Robredo Honasan Trillanes Refused Don't know Undecided / None Election resultsMay 9, 201612.0134.4714.3835.111.922.11SWSExit poll11.034.614.932.82.52.1D' Strafford May 1–5, 2016±1.2%1825173513––1SWSMay 1–3, 2016±1.0%1529132833––9Standard Apr 27-May 1, 2016±1.8%2030122933––3Argus Apr 28–30, 2016±1.9%2233132444–––D' Strafford Apr 25–29, 2016±1.2%1828163421––1Pulse AsiaApr 26–29, 2016±1.5%1828153032––4The Center Apr 23–29, 2016±2.5%1831152553––3Pulse AsiaApr 19–24, 2016±1.5%1831152623––5SWSApr 18–20, 2016±2%1825162625–35Second vice presidential debate in Quezon City (April 17).Pulse AsiaApr 16–20, 2016±2.3%18291624430.7–7D' Strafford Apr 13–18, 2016±1.9%2325173212–––Pulse AsiaApr 12–17, 2016±1.5%2029162343131The Center Apr 11–16, 2016±2.5%2329152543––1First vice presidential debate in Manila (April 10).Pulse AsiaApr 5–10, 2016±1.5%2327172143121The Center Apr 1–7, 2016±2.5%22.528.51623.54.253.75––1.75Pulse AsiaMar 29–Apr 3, 2016±1.5%2128152245––5MBC– DZRHApr 2, 2016±1.13%22.629.818.417.84.35.5––1.6SWSMar 30–Apr 2, 2016±3%2126131955–––Standard Mar 26–Apr 1, 2016±1.8%2825152135––4Pulse AsiaMar 15-20, 2016±1.5%2525142154––5Pulse AsiaMar 8-13, 2016±1.5%2425132056––6SWSMar 4-7, 2016±2%2826112456––2Pulse AsiaMar 1-6, 2016±1.9%2522142156––6Standard Feb 24-Mar 1, 2016±1.8%3024112047––5Pulse AsiaFeb 23-27, 2016±1.9%2526122164–––Pulse AsiaFeb 16-27, 2016±1.4%2626131865222MBC– DZRHFeb 13, 2016±1.13%26.825.114.818.85.56.2––2.7Pulse AsiaFeb 15-20, 2016±2%2926121946––3

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeMoE Escudero Marcos Cayetano Robredo Honasan Trillanes Alba Others Refused Don't know None 2016SWSFeb 5-7, 2016±3%2626161965––––2StandardJan 27-Feb 4, 2016±1.8%3125152054–––––Pulse AsiaJan 24–28, 2016±3%3323141854––0.312SWSJan 8–10, 2016±2%282514178312.32RMNJan 5-14, 2016±2.5%32.1421.6017.3614.066.326.01––––2.522015SWSDec 12–14, 2015±3%30191714850.80.641StandardDec 4–12, 2015±2%3319181967––––5Pulse AsiaDec 4–11, 2015±2.6%29231811940.30.340.111MBC– DZRHNov 27, 2015±1.14%28.4924.6218.2512.536.117.75––––2.25RMNOct 25-Nov 5, 2015±2.5%38.1018.7011.9013.655.945.38––––6.33

Until candidacy filing ended on 16 October 2015 Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeMoE Others Refused Don't know None 2015Pulse AsiaSep 8–15, 2015±2%24239–13––––45–3–543SWSSep 2–5, 2015±3%272059724––2735–3–44Pulse AsiaAug 27–Sep 3, 2015±3%26257–7––––––––2––––RMNAug 11–18, 2015±2.5%36.0121.36––11.82––––––––––––SWSJun 5–8, 2015±3%21723172––331.40.7–1211.1228Pulse AsiaMay 30–Jun 5, 2015±3%41151299–––––6––1––5110.23IBONMay 13–23, 2015±3%15.92.5–––6.81.9–––––––5.1––7.81360Laylo May 8–18, 2015±2.6%231611115––––77–––56–SWSMar 20–23, 2015±3%26634375–0.631.61.7––120.635––7Pulse AsiaMar 1–7, 2015±3%2916131111––34–––20.4––610.2122014Pulse AsiaNov 14–20, 2014±3%332013–8––65–––31––8–12Pulse AsiaSep 8–15, 2014±3%31199–6––55–––33–67–Pulse AsiaJun 24–Jul 6, 2014±3%262214–8––55–––41–46Others: 1%111Pulse AsiaMar 19–26, 2014±3%24206–5–––4–5–318570.20.3–

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