This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.
Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college. Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. Retrospective analyses differ as to why the polls and commentators interpreting them were unable to correctly forecast the result of the election. Two daily tracking polls, the UPI/CVoter poll and the University of Southern California/Los Angeles Times poll were the only polls that often incorrectly predicted a Trump popular vote victory or showed a nearly tied election.
Aggregate polls
Poll numbers verified .
Race Poll model HillaryClinton DonaldTrump GaryJohnson Jill Stein Leading by(points) Two-way 270toWin 47.2% 43.6% colspan=2 rowspan=6 3.6BBCBBC 48.0% 44.0% 4.0 HuffPost Pollster 47.3% 42.0% 5.3New York TimesNew York Times 45.9% 42.8% 3.1Real Clear PoliticsReal Clear Politics46.8% 43.6%3.2TPM PolltrackerTPM Polltracker48.8% 43.9%4.9 Three-wayFiveThirtyEightFiveThirtyEight 45.7% 41.8% 4.8% colspan=1 rowspan=4 3.9 HuffPost Pollster45.7% 40.8% 5.0% 4.9New York Times 45.4% 42.3% 5.0% 3.1TPM Polltracker 46.0% 44.1% 4.9% 1.9 Four-way 270toWin 45.6% 42.5% 4.8% 2.1% 3.1Real Clear PoliticsReal Clear Politics45.5% 42.2% 4.7% 1.9% 3.3CNN Poll of PollsCNN Poll of Polls46.0% 42.0% 5.0% 2.0% 4.0TPM Polltracker46.6% 43.8% 4.6% 2.7% 2.8 Election results (popular vote) 48.2% 46.1% 3.3% 1.1% 2.1
Individual polls
Two-way race
After convention nominations