Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election

Statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama, are as follows. The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Also included are three- and four-way race polls with the Republican and Democratic nominees against various third party candidates.

Opinion polling: Obama vs Romney

Sample size key:

LV – Likely Voters RV – Registered Voters.

Poll source key

(R) – Source polls normally for Republicans (D) – Source polls normally for Democrats

Alabama 9 electoral votes(Republican in 2004) 62%–38% (Republican in 2008) 60%–38%

Alaska 3 electoral votes(Republican in 2004) 61%–35% (Republican in 2008) 59%–37%

No polls conducted

Arizona 11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 55%–44% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of errorPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 53%7 1080 LV ±3.0%YouGovYouGov October 31–November 3, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 52%8 702 LV ±4.1%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchRasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 21, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 52%8 500 LV ±4.5%YouGovYouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 43% Romney 52%9 469 LV ±5.4%Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) October 4–10, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 42%2 523 LV ±4.4%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 1–3, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 53%9 595 LV ±4.0%Moore Information/HighGround (R)Moore Information/HighGround (R) September 25–26, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 46%4 500 LV ±4%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports September 25, 2012 Obama 42% Romney 52%10 500 LV ±4.5%Purple StrategiesPurple Strategies September 15–19, 2012 Obama 45% Romney 48%3 600 LV ±4.0%YouGovYouGov September 7–14, 2012 Obama 41% Romney 51%10 628 LV Not reportedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 Obama 44% Romney 53%9 993 ±3.1%

Arkansas 6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 54%–45% (Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of errorThe Arkansas PollThe Arkansas Poll October 9–14, 2012 Obama 31% Romney 58%27 642 LV ±4%Talk Business/Hendrix CollegeTalk Business/Hendrix College September 17, 2012 Obama 34.5% Romney 55.5%21 2228 LV ±2%

California 55 electoral votes(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of errorYouGovYouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama55% Romney 40%15 1,575 LV Not reportedField ResearchField Research October 17–30, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 39%15 1,566 LV ±2.6%CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 StrategiesCBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies October 21–28, 2012 Obama 55.9% Romney 33%22.9 2,115 LV ±3%USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American ViewpointUSC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint October 15–21, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 38%17 1,400 LV Not reportedPublic Policy Institute of CaliforniaPublic Policy Institute of California October 14–21, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 41%12 993 LV ±4.0%Reason-Rupe Public Opinion/Princeton Survey Research Associates InternationalReason-Rupe Public Opinion/Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 11–15, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 38%15 508 LV ±5.1%YouGovYouGovOctober 4–11, 2012Obama58%Romney39%191169 LV±3.5%CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 StrategiesCBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies October 7–10, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 32.9%21.1 830 LV ±3.4%SurveyUSASurveyUSA October 7–9, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 39%14 539 LV ±4.3%Field Research Corporation/UC Berkeley (Field Poll)Field Research Corporation/UC Berkeley (Field Poll) September 5 – 17, 2012 Obama 58% Romney 34%24 848 LV ±3.4%Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaPublic Policy Institute of California September 9 – 16, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 39%14 995 LV ±4.4%YouGovYouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Obama 56% Romney 39%17 1,361 LV Not reportedCBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 StrategiesCBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies September 9–12, 2012 Obama 55.4% Romney 33.4%22 802 LV ±3.5%SurveyUSASurveyUSA September 9–11, 2012 Obama 57% Romney 35%22 524 LV ±4.3%

Colorado 9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of errorReuters/IpsosReuters/Ipsos November 3–5, 2012Obama48% Romney 47%1 774 LV ±4%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 3–4, 2012Obama52% Romney 46%6 1,096 LV ±3%Keating Research/OnSight Public AffairsKeating Research/OnSight Public Affairs November 2–4, 2012Obama50% Romney 46%4 603 LV ±4%Reuters/IpsosReuters/Ipsos November 2–4, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48% Tied 676 LV ±4.3%USAction/Lake Research Partners (D)USAction/Lake Research Partners (D)October 31–November 4, 2012Obama45%Romney44%1400 LV±5%Reuters/IpsosReuters/Ipsos November 1–3, 2012 Obama 45%Romney 47%2 973 LV ±3.6%YouGovYouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama48% Romney 47%1 752 LV ±4.1%Reuters/IpsosReuters/Ipsos October 31 – November 2, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 46% Tied 1,052 LV ±3.4%League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama50% Romney 46%4 825 LV Not reportedReuters/IpsosReuters/Ipsos October 30 – November 1, 2012 Obama 46%Romney 47%1 694 LV ±4.2%Denver Post/SurveyUSADenver Post/SurveyUSA October 28–31, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 45%2 695 LV ±3.8%CNN/Opinion Research CorporationCNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 26–31, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 48%2 764 LV ±3.5%Reuters/IpsosReuters/Ipsos October 29–31, 2012 Obama 45%Romney 46%1 744 LV ±4.1%We Ask AmericaWe Ask America October 30, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47%3 1,246 LV ±2.9%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchRasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 29, 2012 Obama 47%Romney 50%3 500 LV ±4.5%Project New America/Grove Insight (D)Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 28–29, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45%3 500 LV ±4.4%American Research GroupAmerican Research Group October 25–28, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 48%1 600 LV ±4.0%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 23–25, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 47%4 904 LV ±3.3%Purple StrategiesPurple Strategies October 23–25, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 46%1 600 LV ±4.0%Keating Research/OnSight Public AffairsKeating Research/OnSight Public Affairs October 23–24, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45%3 502 LV ±4.4%NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeNBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College October 23–24, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 48%Tied 1,128 LV ±2.9%Project New America/Grove Insight (D)Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 23–24, 2012 Obama 46% Romney 43%3 500 LV ±4.4%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchRasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 21, 2012 Obama 46%Romney 50%4 500 LV ±4.0%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 16–18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 47%3 1000 LV ±3.1%Project New America/Grove Insight (D)Project New America/Grove Insight (D) October 15–16, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 44%3 500 LV ±4.4%We Ask AmericaWe Ask America October 15, 2012 Obama 47%Romney 48%1 1,206 LV ±2.9%Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing October 5–11, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 46%2 2,089 LV ±2.2%Denver Post/SurveyUSADenver Post/SurveyUSA October 9–10, 2012 Obama 47%Romney 48%1 614 LV ±4.0%New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac UniversityNew York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University October 4–9, 2012 Obama 47%Romney 48%1 1,254 LV ±3.0%American Research GroupAmerican Research Group October 5–8, 2012 Obama 46%Romney 50%4 600 LV ±4.0%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchRasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 7, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 48%1 500 LV ±4.5%University Of Denver/Selzer & Co.University Of Denver/Selzer & Co. October 4–5, 2012 Obama 47% Romney 43%4 604 LV ±4.0%American Conservative Union/McLaughlin & Associates (R)American Conservative Union/McLaughlin & Associates (R) September 30 – October 2, 2012 Obama 46%Romney 50%4 300 LV ±5.7%We Ask AmericaWe Ask America September 25 – 27, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46%3 1,273 LV ±2.8%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling September 20–23, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45%6 940 LV ±3.2%Purple StrategiesPurple Strategies September 15 – 19, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 45%3 600 LV ±4.0%NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeNBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College September 16–18, 2012 Obama 50% Romney 45%5 971 LV ±3.1%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchRasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 17, 2012 Obama 45%Romney 47%2 500 LV ±4.5%New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac UniversityNew York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University September 11–17, 2012 Obama 48% Romney 47%1 1,497 LV ±2.5%American Research GroupAmerican Research Group September 10–12, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 47%2 600 LV ±4.0%Project New America/Keating Research/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D)Project New America/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D) September 10–11, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 44%5 503 LV ±4.4%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling August 31 – September 2, 2012 Obama 49% Romney 46%3 1,001 LV ±3.1%

Three way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of errorPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling September 20–23, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% Gary Johnson 4%6 740 ±3.2%

Connecticut 7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 54%–44% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of errorYouGovYouGov October 31 – November 3, 2012Obama54% Romney 39%15 895 LV ±3.6%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 1 – 2, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 42%13 1,220 LV ±2.8%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac University October 19–22, 2012 Obama 55% Romney 41%14 1,412 LV ±2.6%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchRasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 21, 2012 Obama 52% Romney 45%7 500 LV ±4.5%SurveyUSASurveyUSA October 19–21, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 40%13 575 LV ±4.2%League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) October 15–16, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 44%9 1,015 LV ±3.1%University of Connecticut/Hartford CourantUniversity of Connecticut/Hartford Courant October 11–16, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 37%14 574 LV ±4.0%Siena College Research InstituteSiena College Research Institute October 4–14, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 38%15 552 LV ±4.2%YouGovYouGov October 4–11, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 39%14 434 LV ±5.5%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchRasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 7, 2012 Obama 51% Romney 45%6 500 LV ±4.5%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac University September 28 – October 2, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 42%12 1,696 LV ±2.4%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling September 24 – 26, 2012 Obama 54% Romney 41%13 801 LV ±3.5%University of Connecticut/Hartford CourantUniversity of Connecticut/Hartford Courant September 11 – 16, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 32%21 508 LV ±4.4%YouGovYouGov September 7 – 14, 2012 Obama 53% Romney 40%13 634 LV Not reported

Delaware 3 electoral votes(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46% (Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

No polls conducted

District of Columbia 3 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 89%–9% (Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 12–14, 2012 Obama 88% Romney 8%80 1,222 LV ±2.8%

Florida 29 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%